SPECULATOR: Mulligans, part 1

Over the last couple of years, it has become evident that there is fertile, exploitable ground in the area of rebound candidates. The concept of recency bias tells us that we overreact to performance swings; approaches like Xtreme Regression Drafting (XRD) seek to take advantage accordingly. In a successful implementation of an XRD approach, it is critically important to properly identify the right pool of target players.

This week and next, we'll get an early start on that exercise, as we take a look at some of 2012's biggest underperformers and identify those that we think deserve a "mulligan" on their 2012 disappointment. Put another way, these are the players who, a year from now, we expect to be saying things like "answered all...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

Aroldis Chapman is likely on the move, but instead of speculating on where he might go, we'll dive into potential fill-ins.
Jul 8 2026 3:07am
A retrospective look at first-half all-stars taken late in drafts, including CHW duo Miguel Vargas and Sam Antonacci.
Jul 1 2026 3:06am
They didn't do much for us in the first half, but we're speculating on some big things the rest of the way.
Jun 24 2026 3:07am
The world-renowned (kind of) #BloomBoards make their way to the Speculator. Three of them to sift through!
Jun 17 2026 3:07am
They don't all hit the ground running. We apply the longstanding "10-step path to prospect stardom" to this year's player pool.
Jun 10 2026 3:06am

Tools