SPECULATOR: Ignoring playing time
Jan 20 2021
Veteran readers of the Baseball Forecaster know that projecting players with any sort of accuracy is hard—a 70% accuracy rate is about the best we can do—but projecting playing time before spring training even starts? Even harder. Heck, we don't even know if half the teams will have a DH this year… and it's almost February.
We admit as much on our Stats and Projections page. From our section on "How the Projections are Created":
The more difficult part of the process is assessing playing time (PT). PT expectations are fluid, changing constantly based on what we expect to happen on any given day.
So what if we just ditch playing time for now, and speculate only on our skills projections? By normalizing playing time and prorating hitters...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
Our annual exercise checking in on the MLB returns from this year's rookie class, and speculating on revised outlooks going forward.
Jul 30 2025 3:09am
Jul 30 2025 3:09am
QBaB scores have been integrated into the site this year, so let's take them for a spin.
Jul 23 2025 3:07am
Jul 23 2025 3:07am
They'll be entering uncharted workload territory come September, so it's best you develop some contingency plans ahead of time.
Jul 16 2025 3:09am
Jul 16 2025 3:09am
An annual exercise looking at players most likely to be traded, and more importantly, speculate on who might step in.
Jul 9 2025 3:06am
Jul 9 2025 3:06am
They weren't drafted early, but they've delivered. We'll name a speculative 1H All-Star Team and speculate on their second half.
Jul 2 2025 3:09am
Jul 2 2025 3:09am
