SPECULATOR: Ignoring playing time
Jan 20 2021
Veteran readers of the Baseball Forecaster know that projecting players with any sort of accuracy is hard—a 70% accuracy rate is about the best we can do—but projecting playing time before spring training even starts? Even harder. Heck, we don't even know if half the teams will have a DH this year… and it's almost February.
We admit as much on our Stats and Projections page. From our section on "How the Projections are Created":
The more difficult part of the process is assessing playing time (PT). PT expectations are fluid, changing constantly based on what we expect to happen on any given day.
So what if we just ditch playing time for now, and speculate only on our skills projections? By normalizing playing time and prorating hitters...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
They didn't help you much in the first half, but these rebound targets are primed for a summer surge.
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
The world-renowned (kind of) #BloomBoards make their way to the Speculator. Four of them to sift through!
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Our annual exercise pitting current players on the age-old 10-step path to prospect stardom list.
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Two-plus months into the season, we'll use QBaB to see who's making the best quality of contact, and speculate on their outlook going forward.
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 28 2025 3:07am
May 28 2025 3:07am
