SPECULATOR: Change Score risers, 2022
May 18 2022
A core tenet of player evaluation here at BaseballHQ is to ignore the surface-level stats and focus on skills instead. But at this early stage of the season, how do we know which changes in SKILLS might be more likely to stick around all year, and which ones are just variance after a handful of starts?
Tracking pitch-level data (usage, velocity, whiff rates) with Statcast is increasingly becoming a go-to in our quest to jump on breakout seasons, as someone showing a change in skill AND a change in approach has a better chance to stick all season.
The approach worked wonders for us last season—picking up on early breakouts from Sandy Alcantara, Trevor Rogers, Joe Musgrove, Freddy Peralta, and more—so this week, we'll revisit Change...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
They didn't help you much in the first half, but these rebound targets are primed for a summer surge.
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
The world-renowned (kind of) #BloomBoards make their way to the Speculator. Four of them to sift through!
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Our annual exercise pitting current players on the age-old 10-step path to prospect stardom list.
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Two-plus months into the season, we'll use QBaB to see who's making the best quality of contact, and speculate on their outlook going forward.
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 28 2025 3:07am
May 28 2025 3:07am
