SPECULATOR: Batter & pitcher breakout profiles, 2018
Feb 12 2018
Way back in June 2007, I wrote a pair of research articles looking at "breakout seasons" for batters and pitchers, which we defined as a season in which a player posts a Rotisserie value of $20 or higher having previously never posted a Rotisserie value higher than $10 at the major league level. The batter study consisted of 38 players from 2000-06 who achieved that feat, and the pitcher study covered 31 players from that same time period, with each study looking at age as well as skill minimums and skill changes that the players had in common. That generated a list of breakout criteria, which we then used to identify players from 2007 that might be in the midst of a breakout season.
Those articles had more in common with the kind of...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
A smattering of "best hits" from our Playing Time Tomorrow series, as well as some schedule-based speculations the rest of the way.
Aug 26 2026 3:07am
Aug 26 2026 3:07am
After a horrific start, Jacob Lopez has turned things around this summer. We dive into how, along with several other risers/fallers this summer.
Aug 19 2026 3:06am
Aug 19 2026 3:06am
CJ Abrams has always had the speed, and now both his frequency and quality of contact have taken steps forward.
Aug 5 2026 3:07am
Aug 5 2026 3:07am
We continue the rookie class check-in outside the Top 25 in this year's HQ100.
Jul 29 2026 3:09am
Jul 29 2026 3:09am
We check in on the Top 25 preseason prospects who have made their MLB debut so far, and speculate on their outlooks moving forward.
Jul 22 2026 3:06am
Jul 22 2026 3:06am
