SPECULATOR: Avoiding this year's Nick Pivetta

The hype was real.

At this time last year, Nick Pivetta (RHP, PHI) was shooting up draft boards as a Top 150 pick despite a 4.77 ERA the previous season. Why? He was "everyone's favorite sleeper" thanks to some excellent underlying skills (3.53 xERA, 3.7 Cmd, 135 BPV). Pivetta and fellow helium-mate Shane Bieber (RHP, CLE) were in pretty rare company this time last year:

The answer to "??" in that tweet? A 3.28 ERA for Bieber, and a 5.38 for Pivetta.

In hindsight, it's laughable that...

Almost!

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