SPECULATOR: Avoiding 2021's pitching landmines

Our quest to avoid landmines—an underappreciated yet critically important path to any fantasy title—forges on. Last week, we took lessons learned from Ketel Marte's 2020 bust to build a list of risky hitters going early in drafts. This week, we head to the mound.

Truthfully, it was tougher picking just one pitcher as the lessons-learned model for this exercise; the market was pretty good at avoiding true "busts" early in drafts. Using the NFBC's ADP data from July drafts, here were the starters going Top-75 overall (ADP) and how they fared (Rank) by season's end:

Pitcher            ADP  Rank*  Notes
=================  ===  =====  ============
Gerrit Cole          2      5
Jacob deGrom         7      7
Justin Verlander    10     --  DNP...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 27 2026 3:07am
With enough of the season in the rearview, we're ready to speculate with some revised "UP" side projections.
May 20 2026 3:07am
We've all had a bad day at the office... what if we grant a mulligan to some starting pitchers who had one as well?
May 13 2026 3:07am
An early look at who is changing their pitch mix the most... and whether or not it's working.
May 6 2026 3:06am
With skills so bad, we can only speculate on an underlying injury. We hope we're wrong!
Apr 29 2026 3:05am

Tools