Recency Bias Rebounds, 2024
Feb 14 2024
We say it every year, but the market focuses wayyy too much on last season.
Putting stock in a player's most recent performance to guide your decisions—often referred to as recency bias—is a natural tendency. Resist the urge. Our marketplace tends to be littered with recency bias, as last year's breakouts are often fully priced, last year's duds are discounted, and previous track records are forgotten.
So this week, we're granting mulligans for certain 2023 performances. Perhaps the players we're about to list played through a hidden injury, tried a new approach that didn't work, or just simply had a bad year (it happens). To help build our list, we'll compare Average Draft Positions (ADPs) from 2023 to 2024 as follows:
- Hitters with...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 28 2025 3:07am
May 28 2025 3:07am
We'll take a page from the Baseball Forecaster with a new batch of "UP"side projections based on 2025's early returns.
May 21 2025 3:06am
May 21 2025 3:06am
Starters who have had one (just one!) bad start, and what things would look like if we give them a mulligan
May 14 2025 3:10am
May 14 2025 3:10am
An early look at which starting pitchers have switched up their pitch mix the most, and whether or not it's working.
May 7 2025 3:07am
May 7 2025 3:07am
Slow starts, or is something wrong beneath the hood? We speculate...
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
