Playing Dodgeball, 2024
Feb 28 2024
We've taken a rosy approach to most of the Speculator columns so far this season. "UP:" siders (hitters | pitchers), diving into pitch mix changes, or speculating on recency bias rebounders.
It's time to flip that switch with a more pessimistic tune this week — dodging those potential duds early in drafts.
Stepping on early-round landmines can quickly wipe out any gains made hitting on a late breakout, so instead of dreaming on what some players' 80th-percentile outcome might look like, we need to consider their 20th-percentile outcome as well.
This week, we'll tour the first few rounds to uncover potential missteps as we make the case against several early picks. Some of this may seem like blasphemy—these are premier players going...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 28 2025 3:07am
May 28 2025 3:07am
We'll take a page from the Baseball Forecaster with a new batch of "UP"side projections based on 2025's early returns.
May 21 2025 3:06am
May 21 2025 3:06am
Starters who have had one (just one!) bad start, and what things would look like if we give them a mulligan
May 14 2025 3:10am
May 14 2025 3:10am
An early look at which starting pitchers have switched up their pitch mix the most, and whether or not it's working.
May 7 2025 3:07am
May 7 2025 3:07am
Slow starts, or is something wrong beneath the hood? We speculate...
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
