Pitch Mix Changers, 2023 vs. 2024
Feb 12 2025
Regression is our game's most powerful force.
Sage advice and a foundational pillar of our fanalytic toolbox, but the Speculator thrives on bending those rules. As we search for new ways to dissect 2024 returns, we'll use pitch-level data to identify starters who changed their approach by switching up their pitch mix from 2023. The idea is that with a new arsenal, they're a different pitcher than they were before, and more likely to repeat 2024 success than most might think.
We whipped up a "Change Score" metric in this space a few years ago to help quantify a pitcher's overall change in pitch mix. As a quick refresher, Change Score is the total difference in pitch usage across a pitcher's entire arsenal. For example, if someone throws...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
They didn't help you much in the first half, but these rebound targets are primed for a summer surge.
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
Jun 25 2025 3:09am
The world-renowned (kind of) #BloomBoards make their way to the Speculator. Four of them to sift through!
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Jun 18 2025 3:09am
Our annual exercise pitting current players on the age-old 10-step path to prospect stardom list.
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Jun 11 2025 3:06am
Two-plus months into the season, we'll use QBaB to see who's making the best quality of contact, and speculate on their outlook going forward.
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
Jun 4 2025 3:09am
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 28 2025 3:07am
May 28 2025 3:07am
