(Re)Introducing BABS

During my last few years at BaseballHQ.com, I questioned whether we could truly project player stats with the accuracy necessary for them to be useful in our fantasy games. We were spending our efforts digging for more data granularity and hoping that would lead to better projective precision, but the results were not much more accurate than before. The holy grail of 100 percent projective accuracy remained ever elusive (ha!). Heck, we would have been fine with only 80 percent, but even that was no more achievable than a randomly aimed blind dart throw. In a dark room. At midnight.

So, I suggested we turn around and head in the other direction. I advocated for accepting the inherent variability in baseball performance and embracing the...

Almost!

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