FANALYTICS: The 2013 Anti-Market first round
Feb 22 2013
There is pretty much global fantasy consensus on the top 10-15 players in baseball for 2013. It's right there in the Average Draft Position (ADP) and Average Auction Value (AAV) rankings on all the websites. It's irrefutable.
Ryan Braun, Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout are the acknowledged Big 3, in whatever order you choose. Then comes a group with names like Cano, Kemp, Pujols, Votto, CarGo, Fielder, Posey... the order doesn't matter but they are all absolute first-rounders.
And most of them are dead wrong.
There are psychological barriers that prevent us from accurately assessing the talent pool each year. Chief among them is our "recency bias."
Without fail, previous season's performances tend to grossly inflate our...
Almost!
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