Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.
Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.
This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on many of them.
Let's identify these SP by looking at those who earned at least $5 in 2017 but had a sub-100 BPV:
<100 BPV, 5x5 $5+, 2017* Name Lg Ctl Dom HR/9 GB% H% S% SwK% FpK% 5x5 $ BPV ================== == === ==== ==== === === === ==== ==== ===== === Cashner, Andrew AL 3.5 4.6 0.8 49% 27% 77% 6% 58% ...100>
Almost!
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