For fans, spring training means more as a harbinger of a new season and less in terms of the actual baseball being played in Florida and Arizona. Sure it's exciting to see prospects, stars and the rest of the pack in action again, but the variable quality of competition and the small samples mean the actual spring statistics have little bearing on the season to come. That is, except when it comes to the action on the basepaths.
Former BaseballHQ.com staffer Bill Macey wrote a terrific article that examined the correlation between team baserunning in the spring to that same team's performance in the regular season that followed. To summarize, Macey discovered that teams that are significantly more or less aggressive on the basepaths in...
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