In the past, Ron Shandler has written about and practiced a team-construction approach he called “Xtreme Regression Drafting.” In a nutshell, XRD says to find players who significantly over- or underperformed their historical norms in Year X, and expect them to regress to those norms in Year X+1.
To get that procedural ball rolling, we need to find the players whose 2011 seasons varied sharply from their norms. And it’s just too bad that none of them is named “Norm,” which would be fun.
But XRD does not suggest blindly assuming that every outlier season is a precursor to a regression. We also have to look at the factors underlying the performance. In this edition of the Batting Buyers Guide, we’ll look at players who had unusually...
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