One approach to identify potential surgers is to split their skills and analyze the extremes to determine if the player could be a tweak away from finishing strong. As we did with starting pitchers last week, one way to do this is to look at the stats and skills of players with the bases empty compared to with runners on base.
Let's start by setting some performance baselines in these two scenarios:
Bases Empty Stats & Skills: 2013-2021 YTD Year League BA OBP Slg OPS ISO | bb% ct% Eye h% ==== ====== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== | === === ==== === 2013 AL .252 .313 .404 .717 .152 | 7% 78% 0.37 30% 2014 AL .246 .305 .381 .686 .136 | 7% 77% 0.34 29% 2015 AL .246 .306 .405 .711 ...
Almost!
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