SPECULATOR: The Forecaster DN: list

Our first two articles of the season have taken a look at the speculative UP: projections found in the 2015 Baseball Forecaster, for both batters and pitchers. In the spirit of equal time, this week we take a look at those players who we tagged with the dreaded "DN:" tag; indicated downside risk.

First, let's look at the DN: batters list:

Cuddyer,Michael     .270 BA, 10 HR, even if healthy
Gonzalez,Carlos     Injuries make even 2014 look good
Hamilton,Billy      35 SB or less
Hill,Aaron          Single-digit HR, part-time role
Holliday,Matt       15 HR, .260
Hunter,Torii        12 HR, .260
Joyce,Matt          300 AB
Morrison,Logan      See 2012
Napoli,Mike         2H x 2
Pence,Hunter        2nd half x 2
Perez,Juan          Back to the...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

With skills so bad, we can only speculate on an underlying injury. We hope we're wrong!
Apr 29 2026 3:05am
Our annual "draft skills, not roles" using projected skills and year-to-date playing time.
Apr 22 2026 3:05am
With most pitchers 3-4 starts in, we dive into the sub-indicators to see who's rising and falling.
Apr 15 2026 3:06am
Using our Quality of Batted Ball (QBaB) metric to make some speculative hitter snap judgments.
Apr 8 2026 3:06am
Baseball is back, and it's time to overreact... because what else are we supposed to do?
Apr 1 2026 3:08am

Tools