RESEARCH: How to estimate home run output for young hitters

We've done a lot of research into developing various metrics, and each has its value in evaluating a hitter. What we perhaps haven't done as well is to figure out how to use these metrics. It's great to have a bunch of ways to break down player performance, but the real meat of fantasy baseball (and BaseballHQ.com) is in using what we know and what we've learned to guide us in making decisions about future performance.

We have an alphabet soup of metrics that measure power in one way or another: FB%, PX, xPX, HH%, hr/f, and HctX. These all have value in context, but what is the context? We know what each of them means, but how well do they portend future changes in performance?

In thinking about the basic hitting stats, we generally...

Almost!

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