The Santana Plan is a roster construction strategy that advocates buying one elite starting pitcher that satisfies statistical screens for excellence over the past two seasons. Santana Plan anchors are not necessarily the best starting pitchers for 2025, but instead are the elite starters who are most likely to retain in 2025 the skills they displayed in 2024.
For background about the Santana Plan, the roster construction strategy, how well the research has performed using decades of data, please see pages 78-79 of the 2024 edition of the Baseball Forecaster (yes, the one that came out 15 months ago). One key finding is that Santana Plan anchors retained 79% of their skills value from the prior season compared to 52% for the pitching...
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