FANALYTICS: 9th Annual Longshot Caucus
Mar 19 2015
Nobody expected Dee Gordon to steal 64 bases in 2014. That's because everyone came into last year with a set of preconceptions about the odds of a 26-year-old journeyman 2Bman finding a role and being given a perpetual green light on the base paths. Last year at this time, Gordon was ignored in virtually all redraft leagues.
That's where we run into trouble every year, grounding future expectations in past realities. And so, we are blindsided by the surprises. Last year becomes the starting point for this year, and everything that happens is grounded in 2014. But 2015 is not an extension of 2014. It's a new beginning.
If we look at each season as a blank slate, we immediately open up more possibilities. If we start the year completely...
Almost!
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